TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Ethereum price on July 8?
polymarket

Ethereum price on July 8?

Volume:
$57,601

1,700-1,800

 - Polymarket

1,700-1,800 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,700-1,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,600-1,700

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,900-2,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1,200

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,500-1,600

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>2,100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,200-1,300

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,000-2,100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,800-1,900

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,400-1,500

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,300-1,400

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price prediction market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this event. Traders buy and sell shares based on their conviction about where Ethereum will trade on July 8, with the current leading outcome reflecting the collective forecast. The interface displays the top prediction alongside historical price movement and liquidity depth, giving participants a live snapshot of market sentiment and confidence levels as the event date approaches.

Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect Ethereum to be worth on the specified date, often diverging from current spot prices due to time value and volatility expectations. While spot markets reflect the price right now, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment about price movement, macroeconomic shifts, and on-chain developments over the coming months. Comparing the leading outcome to analyst forecasts and historical volatility patterns can highlight whether the crowd is pricing in bullish or bearish momentum.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares tied to specific price ranges or outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current leading outcome reflects the price level where the most trading activity and conviction have accumulated. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, share prices adjust in real time, with the market continuously repricing based on supply and demand dynamics among participants.

This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning prediction will be determined by comparing the actual Ethereum price on that date against the specified range or threshold. Once the resolution criteria are met and verified, traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, and regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency markets. On-chain metrics such as network activity, staking changes, and large whale transactions can also shift trader expectations. Additionally, developments in competing blockchain platforms, institutional adoption news, and geopolitical events influencing risk appetite may drive significant repricing as traders reassess their conviction ahead of the July 8 settlement date.