TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Ethereum price on July 6?
polymarket

Ethereum price on July 6?

Volume:
$180,442

1,700-1,800

 - Polymarket

1,700-1,800 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,700-1,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,900-2,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,500-1,600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,600-1,700

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,800-1,900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,100-1,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,300-1,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>2,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,400-1,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,200-1,300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price prediction market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this event. Traders buy and sell shares based on their conviction about where Ethereum will trade on July 6, and the current market price reflects the aggregate belief of all participants. The dashboard displays the leading outcome, trading volume, and odds updates as new trades execute, giving you a live window into how the market is pricing this specific price level.

Prediction market odds often diverge from spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk hedging. While spot exchanges show the current Ethereum price, this market reflects traders' probabilistic views about where the asset will settle on a future date. Analysts and institutional traders use prediction markets to benchmark consensus expectations against their own models, since the odds are discovered through real money incentives rather than surveys or sentiment polls.

This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources. The result hinges on where Ethereum actually trades at that time, verified through established price feeds and reporting. Once the event is verifiable and the resolution criteria are met, the market will settle and winning shares will be redeemable for their full value.

Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin price movements, and Ethereum-specific technical or governance developments. Network upgrades, changes in staking yields, or shifts in institutional adoption can also influence trader positioning. Broader crypto market sentiment, central bank policy decisions, and on-chain metrics such as transaction volume or validator participation may prompt repricing as traders reassess their probability estimates heading into the resolution date.