TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum price on July 3?
polymarket

Ethereum price on July 3?

Volume:
$73,499

1,700-1,800

 - Polymarket

1,700-1,800 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,700-1,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,800-1,900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,500-1,600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,900-2,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,600-1,700

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>2,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,400-1,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,300-1,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,200-1,300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,100-1,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price prediction market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this event. Traders buy and sell shares based on their conviction about where Ethereum will trade on July 3, with the current leading outcome reflecting strong consensus. The interface displays live price movements, historical odds trends, and cumulative volume, giving participants a transparent view of how the market is pricing the outcome at any moment.

Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect Ethereum to be worth on the settlement date, often differing from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. When this market shows high conviction toward a specific price range, it typically reflects informed traders pricing in near-term volatility, adoption trends, or macroeconomic shifts. Comparing these odds to traditional price targets from research firms can highlight where the crowd's expectations diverge from institutional views.

This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Ethereum's price on that date is verifiable from credible public reporting. The settlement hinges on where Ethereum trades at the specified time, with the winning outcome determined by comparing the actual price to the predefined range. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once verification is complete.

Major catalysts for Ethereum price movement include regulatory announcements, shifts in macroeconomic conditions, updates to the Ethereum protocol, and changes in institutional adoption. Network upgrades, staking developments, or shifts in competing blockchain ecosystems can also reshape trader expectations. Broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin price action, and traditional finance volatility often ripple through Ethereum markets, causing odds to shift as participants reassess their probability estimates.