TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds in this market often align closely with short-term spot price expectations from analysts and major trading platforms. While spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, the odds here incorporate market participants' collective outlook on where Ethereum will trade by Jul 28, 2026. Discrepancies can arise from volatility or differing time horizons, but generally, the two sources converge.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants continuously adjust their bids and asks based on their outlook for Ethereum’s value. The current odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of all traders on the platform, balancing buy and sell orders to determine the implied probability of each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on the recorded price of Ethereum at the specified time, verified against reliable and widely accepted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent result.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major economic announcements, regulatory news affecting cryptocurrencies, significant developments from Ethereum’s ecosystem, and broad market volatility. Traders will also watch key support and resistance levels, as well as any large institutional activity that might influence Ethereum’s price in the coming months.