TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal what informed traders believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices because they factor in volatility, upcoming catalysts, and longer-term sentiment. While spot price reflects the price right now, this market embeds expectations about where Ethereum will trade on July 13. Comparing the two can highlight whether traders are pricing in upside, downside, or stability relative to today's level. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, making them a useful complement to traditional price charts and analyst forecasts.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares of different price-range outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract's market price—ranging from near zero to one dollar—represents the probability that outcome will occur. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction around a specific price band. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down in real time. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to changing expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Ethereum's price on that date is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning contract is the one matching the actual price range at settlement time. Until then, traders can buy, sell, and adjust their positions as new information emerges. Resolution is automatic once the event passes and the price is officially recorded, with payouts distributed to holders of the correct outcome.
Major catalysts include Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite, and Bitcoin price movements—since BTC often leads altcoin sentiment. Technical developments, staking changes, or shifts in institutional adoption can also reshape trader expectations. Broader crypto market sentiment, central bank policy, and traditional finance volatility frequently ripple through Ethereum valuations. Real-time news and on-chain metrics may prompt traders to reassess their positions, causing this market's odds to swing as the resolution date approaches.