TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 4:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, odds reflect a weighted average of trader positions, offering a forward-looking view compared to current spot prices. When odds diverge sharply from spot price trends, it may signal anticipated volatility or upcoming events that traders expect to impact Ethereum’s value. Analysts often compare this market’s implied price to technical indicators and on-chain metrics for a comprehensive outlook.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders place bets that directly set the market price through a logarithmic market scoring rule. The current probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading activity. As Ethereum news, macro developments, or large trades emerge, the odds shift to incorporate new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Ethereum’s closing price will be checked against the market’s conditions, and the result will be finalized based on reliable, widely accepted sources. Traders should monitor major exchanges and news outlets for any last-minute fluctuations.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including key macroeconomic announcements, regulatory updates affecting cryptocurrencies, major exchange listings or delistings, and significant developments from influential Ethereum stakeholders. Large institutional trades, sentiment shifts on social media, and technical breakouts or breakdowns on charts may also cause rapid repricing as traders adjust positions ahead of the August 9 deadline.