TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 12:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, traders in the Ethereum price market set odds reflecting their collective outlook for where ETH will trade by Aug 31, 2026. These probabilities often diverge from short-term spot price momentum, as the market incorporates longer-term expectations and macro sentiment. For example, if spot prices show volatility, this market may still price in a stable range based on broader market sentiment and trader positioning. Comparing this market's current implied price to real-time trading data can reveal whether speculators are more bullish or bearish than actual market participants at any given moment.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual Ethereum price at the specified close time, removing any ambiguity for participants. Traders should monitor reliable sources as the date approaches to anticipate the official result.
Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 31, 2026. Major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, or widespread adoption news often drive sentiment shifts. Additionally, broader crypto market movements, macro economic data, and investor risk appetite all play a role. Unexpected black swan events — like exchange outages or security breaches — may also cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will be watching on Polymarket for any rapid changes in volume or open interest as these events unfold, as they typically precede significant moves in the market odds.