TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 5:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized order book where buyers and sellers place bids and asks for contracts representing possible Ethereum price outcomes. The displayed probability reflects the balance of these orders, showing the collective guess of Polymarket traders about where Ethereum will sit on Aug 25, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Ethereum price used for settlement will be drawn from a widely accepted, transparent source at the exact close time, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution for all participants.
Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 25, 2026. Major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, or unexpected macroeconomic developments may dramatically alter trader sentiment. Institutional inflows or outflows, coupled with broader crypto market trends, often drive short-term volatility. Additionally, significant movements in correlated assets or shifts in investor risk appetite could reshape market expectations. Traders will monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as on-chain metrics, to anticipate potential swings that influence this market’s odds as resolution approaches.