TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view of where traders expect Ethereum to trade, often diverging from short-term spot price swings. While spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, this market incorporates broader expectations about macroeconomic factors, exchange inflows, and protocol developments. The odds here can signal bullish or bearish sentiment weeks ahead of the actual price movement.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting pool where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible Ethereum price outcomes. The current chance reflected is derived from the ratio of ‘yes’ to ‘no’ shares, adjusted for liquidity depth. Traders’ positions and new bets continuously update the implied probability, shaping the market’s expected price path.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Ethereum price is verifiable from credible public sources. The final settlement will match the price recorded at the exact close of that day, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution based on widely available market data.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, significant movements in Bitcoin’s price, and macro economic data affecting risk appetite. Large institutional trades, exchange inflows or outflows, and sentiment shifts from influential analysts or investors may also cause rapid repricing in the weeks leading up to Aug 16, 2026.