TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 12:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, odds in this market reflect trader consensus about where Ethereum will trade by mid-August. These probabilities often diverge from short-term spot-price expectations set by exchanges, as market participants price in macro events, exchange flows, and ETF dynamics unique to the August timeframe. Comparing this market to spot forecasts can reveal sentiment shifts or risk adjustments not yet priced into immediate trading.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized mechanism where traders submit bids and asks that collectively determine the current odds. The platform’s order book dynamics — along with liquidity provider behavior — shape the implied probability, allowing participants to trade based on their view of Ethereum’s value around August.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect Ethereum’s price at the specified time, based on widely accepted data sources that ensure transparency and reliability for all participants.
Several catalysts could shift this market before Aug 13, 2026. Key influences include major Ethereum upgrade announcements, regulatory updates from the U.S. or EU affecting crypto exchanges, inflows or outflows from spot ETFs, and broad risk-on/risk-off moves in global markets that reprice crypto assets. Traders will also watch key support and resistance levels on Ethereum charts, as technical breaks often drive short-term repricing.