TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 12:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set odds based on their own assessments of Ethereum’s likely value on the resolution date. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate of those bets, with volume of $31,871 supporting the priced probability. Liquidity and trader participation directly shape the market’s shape, allowing rapid adjustments as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Ethereum’s closing price will be checked against the defined range, and the market will settle accordingly. No additional criteria or external data sources beyond widely accepted public records are used for determination.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 11, 2026: major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, significant movements in overall crypto market sentiment, or unexpected macroeconomic data. Any development that changes trader expectations for Ethereum’s price on the exact resolution date may be reflected quickly in updated odds and volume on Polymarket as participants reposition their bets.