TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting mechanism where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The odds adjust dynamically based on trading volume and open interest, with price fluctuations driven by real-time trader activity. As more users engage, the market price converges toward what the community considers the most probable result, influenced by both on-chain data and broader market sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Ethereum’s closing price will be checked against the defined range, and the market will settle automatically based on this observation. Traders only need to wait for authoritative sources to confirm the final price, after which all positions are resolved according to the rules of Polymarket.
Between now and Aug 1, 2026, several signals could shift this market. Major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, or unexpected macroeconomic developments may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, large institutional trades, shifts in crypto market sentiment, or even significant movements in correlated assets like Bitcoin could cause rapid re-pricing. As the resolution date approaches, volume often spikes in response to new information, making this market sensitive to both on-chain activity and broader financial news.