TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 3:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Monday, August 31, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Monday, August 31, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks directly, determining the current implied probability. The platform’s pricing mechanism reflects the most recent trades and depth at each price level, allowing participants to buy or sell contracts at market-driven rates rather than a fixed, centrally set price.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, it settles based on whether reported Ethereum ETF asset flows meet the predefined threshold during the target period, using widely accepted financial data sources to validate the result.
Key signals include official announcements from U.S. regulators regarding Ethereum ETF approvals, public statements from major asset managers about inflow plans, and broader macroeconomic updates affecting crypto demand. Additionally, unexpected market volatility or shifts in Ethereum’s network activity could influence trader sentiment and shift probabilities in this market closer to Aug 31, 2026.