TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 3:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders continuously bid and ask on the likelihood of the specified Ethereum ETF flow outcome, with the current implied probability reflecting aggregated user sentiment. The market price adjusts based on trading volume and new information, offering a real-time barometer of expectations. Liquidity can vary, so sharp news may cause rapid shifts in the odds.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official disclosures, exchange filings, and trusted financial news sources to validate whether the defined flow criteria are met. The process ensures an objective, transparent resolution aligned with publicly available data.
Key signals include regulatory announcements from the SEC or other jurisdictions, major institutional inflows or outflows reported by asset managers, and macroeconomic developments affecting crypto demand. Updates from leading ETFs, market sentiment shifts, and even broader risk-on or risk-off trends can influence this market. Traders will monitor news feeds, fund disclosures, and on-chain metrics for early indicators.