TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 8:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Monday, August 24, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Monday, August 24, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting mechanism where participants buy and sell shares of possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the ratio of yes to no shares, with liquidity and trader positioning driving fluctuations. As new information surfaces — such as regulatory updates or institutional announcements — the market rapidly adjusts, offering a dynamic barometer of crowd-sourced expectations around Ethereum ETF activity.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution hinges on whether reported Ethereum ETF inflows meet the predefined threshold during the specified period. Official disclosures, exchange data, and trusted financial news sources will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of significant flows or not.
Key signals include official announcements from regulators regarding Ethereum ETF approvals, major institutional inflows reported by exchanges, and macroeconomic developments affecting crypto demand. Positive statements from financial leaders or unexpected regulatory delays could sharply shift this market. Additionally, broader market volatility or related cryptocurrency events may influence trader sentiment and adjust probabilities on Polymarket as resolution approaches.