TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 6:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Tuesday, August 18, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Tuesday, August 18, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Currently, this market reflects trader confidence through its odds, which can diverge from spot price expectations. Analysts and investors often watch this market as a leading indicator, since shifts in odds may precede moves in the actual asset price. Comparing this market to on-the-ground trading activity helps identify potential mispricings or sentiment extremes.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will depend on whether the specified ETF flows occur on that date, as reported by authoritative financial news sources and official disclosures.
Key signals include official announcements from regulators or asset managers, daily ETF flow data releases, and broader market sentiment shifts. Any surprise regulatory decisions, news about institutional buying, or macroeconomic updates could cause rapid swings in this market as traders reassess the likelihood of a positive outcome on August 18.