TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the price of Ethereum will be above $2,300 on September 7th. Currently, the Polymarket market gives a 100.0% probability to that outcome. Resolution will be based on the 12:00 PM ET Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price, as reported directly from Binance at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT. Keep a close watch on the price of Ethereum leading up to September 7th, 2026, as the final Binance price at noon ET on that date will determine the market’s outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, this market reflects strong confidence that Ethereum will stay above the target level, contrasting with some analyst forecasts that suggest volatility could pull prices lower. The gap between market odds and spot-market sentiment often narrows as Sep 7, 2026 approaches, making this a useful barometer of trader sentiment versus broader market outlooks.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through their bets, which directly influence the implied probability. The current line reflects supply and demand dynamics unique to the platform. As trading volume grows, price fluctuations can become more pronounced, especially around major news or market events. This mechanism allows participants to express their views on where Ethereum will trade by Sep 7, 2026, with the market price adjusting in real time based on collective participation and available volume of $360,588.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch exchange data and widely accepted sources to validate whether Ethereum’s price meets the threshold defined in this market on that exact date.
Several signals could shift expectations in this market before Sep 7, 2026. Key events include major economic announcements, regulatory updates affecting cryptocurrencies, and significant developments from Ethereum’s ecosystem such as network upgrades or high-profile partnerships. Technical factors like broader market sentiment and macroeconomic trends may also play a role. Traders will watch these cues closely, as each can influence short-term price action and, consequently, market odds on Polymarket as participants reassess their positions.