TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
The odds in this market reflect aggregated trader sentiment, often diverging from short-term spot price movements. While spot prices can fluctuate rapidly based on trading volume and macro news, prediction market odds capture the probability view of where Ethereum will sit at the exact resolution point. Analysts sometimes compare this market to on-chain metrics or technical indicators for a broader perspective.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through their bets, which directly determine the current implied probability. The platform’s pricing mechanism updates constantly based on new trades and positions taken. This reflects the collective assessment of participants on Polymarket regarding where Ethereum’s price will stand by Sep 6, 2026, without influence from external market data feeds.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will learn the result when Ethereum’s price is checked against the defined threshold at the specified resolution time, eliminating any ambiguity about the final value.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 6, 2026. Major Ethereum developments like protocol upgrades, significant exchange listings, regulatory announcements, or large institutional trades may influence trader sentiment. Broader market trends, including movements in Bitcoin or overall crypto market sentiment, often impact Ethereum’s price and therefore this market’s odds on Polymarket as well.