TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Tour
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Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on September 4?
polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on September 4?

Volume:
$505,274

2,300

 - Polymarket

2,300 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,300

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$72,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,400

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$65,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,200

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,100

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,500

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,600

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,896
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,700

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,800

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,900

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $368,779 for the Ethereum price market. It shows how traders on the platform are positioning around the likelihood of Ethereum trading above a certain level by Sep 4, 2026. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest market sentiment and liquidity conditions, giving users a clear view of where the market stands at any moment.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot prices. In this market, traders are pricing in anticipated moves and volatility, so the odds may appear more bullish or bearish than today’s actual trading price. Comparing the two reveals market sentiment and potential direction ahead of Sep 4, 2026.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through their bets, which determine the current implied probability. The platform’s pricing mechanism adjusts in real time based on new trades, reflecting shifts in market sentiment. As trading volume grows, the odds can move significantly, especially around major crypto events or macroeconomic announcements that influence investor behavior.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the result automatically reflected on the platform once the data is beyond doubt, settling all open positions according to the final price point.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 4, 2026. Major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, or broad crypto market movements may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic factors like interest rate decisions or geopolitical tensions often ripple through digital asset prices, affecting odds. Whales placing large bets on Polymarket can also cause rapid changes in the implied probability as the market adjusts to new information.