TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

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$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Ethereum above ___ on September 15?
polymarket

Will Ethereum be above its price on September 15?

Volume:
$397,733

2,400

 - Polymarket

2,400 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,400

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,300

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,600

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,700

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,500

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of Ethereum will be above $2,200 on September 15th. Currently, Polymarket gives a 99.9% probability to that outcome. Resolution will be based on the 12:00 PM ET Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle “Close” price on September 15th, as reported at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT. Keep a close watch on the price of Ethereum leading up to September 15th, 2026, as the final Binance price at noon ET on that date will determine the market’s outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of Ethereum being above a certain price on September 15. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the trading volume over the past 24 hours, which currently stands at $308,764. The total volume traded in this market is $397,569. The dashboard also provides a history of how the probabilities have shifted over time, offering insight into how traders' expectations are evolving. This allows you to monitor the market’s sentiment and activity.

Currently, the odds on Polymarket suggest a strong belief among traders regarding the future price of Ethereum. These predictions often differ from those found in traditional polls or analyst forecasts, as prediction markets incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs backed by capital. If a majority of analysts predict a lower price, but this market shows a high probability of Ethereum exceeding a specific threshold, it indicates a potentially contrarian view held by those willing to put their money where their mouth is. This divergence can be a valuable signal for informed decision-making.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted source at a specific time on September 15. The platform will verify the price against these sources to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. Traders should monitor news and data releases leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price movements.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 15, 2026. Major regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, could trigger substantial price swings. Unexpected developments in the Ethereum network, such as successful upgrades or security breaches, would also likely impact trading activity. Broader macroeconomic trends, like changes in interest rates or inflation, can also affect the price of Ethereum. Finally, significant news related to the adoption of Ethereum by institutions or large corporations could move this market considerably.