TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Ethereum above ___ on October 17?
polymarket

Will Ethereum be above its price on October 17?

Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$30,139
Volume 24h:
$12,280
529%
Liquidity:
$267,396
6%
Open interest:
$26,078N/A

2,000

 - Polymarket

2,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 17, 2026

Time left: 02d:11h:27m

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 17?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.3¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 0.7% | APY: 257% 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,000

Trade
99%
Yes 99.3¢No 0.8¢
0.1¢
$28,139
$1,280
306%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,100

Trade
99%
Yes 99.1¢No 1.5¢
0.6¢
$27,928
$2,441
71%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,200

Trade
96%
3%
Yes 96.4¢No 4.8¢
1.2¢
$29,035
$5,074
12%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,300

Trade
80%
18%
Yes 81.2¢No 22.2¢
3.4¢
$29,584
$4,770
6%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,400

Trade
40%
50%
Yes 41¢No 62¢
3¢
$34,027
$3,515
94%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,500

Trade
8%
47%
Yes 9¢No 94¢
3¢
$27,228
$1,851
17%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,600

Trade
2%
18%
Yes 2.1¢No 99¢
1.1¢
$6,857
$120
100%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,700

Trade
1%
4%
Yes 2¢No 99.7¢
1.7¢
$26,248
$5,966
279%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,800

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.6¢
1.1¢
$26,281
$2,930
599%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,900

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.6¢
0.4¢
$26,387
$1,209
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

3,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.7¢
—
$5,682
$983
140%
N/A
N/A
2d 11h 27m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of Ethereum being above a certain price on October 17, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the historical price action of the market itself. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume traded, which currently stands at $12,193, and the total volume traded to date, reaching $30,139. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding the future price of Ethereum.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations for Ethereum. While spot markets reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders forecasting a future price. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of market trends. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into the collective wisdom of the crowd and potential market inefficiencies surrounding the future value of Ethereum.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Ethereum being above the specified price on Oct 17, 2026. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly and efficiently the price responds to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum at a specific time on that date, as reported by a widely recognized and reliable source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result. The market’s resolution provides a transparent and objective assessment of the accuracy of predictions made prior to the event.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market between now and Oct 17, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen vulnerabilities, could shift sentiment. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, would also likely cause price fluctuations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, could influence investor risk appetite and impact the entire crypto market, including Ethereum. Unexpected news regarding the adoption of Ethereum by institutions or large corporations could also move this market.