TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum above ___ on October 16?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Will Ethereum be above the price on October 16?

Oct 9, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Oct 16, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$135,851
Volume 24h:
$50,777
159%
Liquidity:
$315,984
10%
Open interest:
$95,391N/A

2,000

 - Polymarket

2,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 16, 2026

Time left: 01d:11h:27m

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 16?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.5¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 0.5% High Projected APY: 517%
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,000

Trade
99%
Yes 99.5¢No 0.9¢
0.4¢
$28,642
$3,974
171%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,100

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 98.6¢No 2.3¢
0.9¢
$28,266
$9,223
68%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,200

Trade
93%
6%
Yes 94.3¢No 7.6¢
1.9¢
$29,039
$19,565
96%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,300

Trade
79%
17%
Yes 79.9¢No 21¢
0.9¢
$28,815
$20,858
37%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,400

Trade
38%
53%
Yes 39¢No 63¢
2¢
$35,059
$20,878
18%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,500

Trade
7%
49%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$28,650
$4,155
153%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,600

Trade
2%
14%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.7¢
0.5¢
$29,147
$29,602
167%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,700

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.4¢
0.2¢
$27,466
$11,739
11%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,800

Trade
0%
2%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
$27,403
$7,448
10%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,900

Trade
0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$26,817
$4,413
146%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
polymarket

3,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$26,679
$3,994
8%
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 27m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of Ethereum being above a specified price on Oct 16, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $50,645. The total volume for this market is $135,851. This allows you to quickly gauge market sentiment and see how actively traders are participating in predicting the future price of Ethereum.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates the beliefs of numerous traders regarding Ethereum’s price on Oct 16, 2026. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like risk aversion, information asymmetry, or differing interpretations of future events. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential price movements beyond short-term fluctuations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Ethereum being above the target price on Oct 16, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of participants, constantly adjusting to new information and evolving expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a publicly available and widely recognized source for the Ethereum price at the specified time. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of whether the market prediction was accurate. Traders should review the platform’s documentation for the specific details regarding data sources used for resolution.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 16, 2026. Major regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, significant technological developments within the Ethereum network (like upgrades or security breaches), and broader macroeconomic factors influencing investor sentiment could all impact the perceived probability of Ethereum’s price. Unexpected news regarding institutional adoption or large-scale movements in the broader crypto market are also likely to cause fluctuations in trading activity and price discovery within this market.