TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on October 15?
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Will Ethereum be above the price on October 15?

Oct 8, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Oct 15, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$182,052
Volume 24h:
$139,283
994%
Liquidity:
$440,242
33%
Open interest:
$118,429N/A

1,900

 - Polymarket

1,900 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 15, 2026

Time left: 11h:27m:37s

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 15?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,900

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$36,298
$9,733
823%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,000

100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.2¢
0.1¢
$34,866
$2,753
429%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,100

99%
Yes 99.5¢No 0.9¢
0.4¢
$35,136
$7,040
156%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,200

98%
Yes 98.5¢No 1.6¢
0.1¢
$37,946
$22,241
177%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,300

91%
Yes 91.1¢No 9.1¢
0.2¢
$37,200
$35,871
347%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,400

32%
67%
Yes 32.2¢No 68.8¢
1¢
$38,035
$17,778
360%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,500

3%
55%
Yes 3.3¢No 97¢
0.3¢
$35,786
$30,353
558%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,600

1%
9%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.4¢
0.6¢
$34,422
$27,129
5,780%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,700

0%
2%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$34,841
$18,305
220%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,800

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$37,675
$5,882
20%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
polymarket

2,900

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$78,038
$4,967
0%
N/A
N/A
11h 27m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current odds of Ethereum being above a specified price on Oct 15, 2026. You’ll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, along with the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $139,140. The total volume for this market is $182,057. This allows you to quickly gauge market interest and how predictions are evolving as we approach the resolution date. The dashboard provides a clear visual representation of where traders believe the Ethereum price will land.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than typical spot price expectations. While traditional financial analysts may offer price targets based on fundamental or technical analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs. A significant difference between the implied probability from this market and external forecasts could indicate disagreement or unique information held by prediction market participants. It's a valuable signal for anyone following the cryptocurrency space.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of Ethereum being above the target price on Oct 15, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares indicates increasing confidence in Ethereum exceeding the price, driving the share price up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects real-time sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available source for the Ethereum price at the specified time. The price will be determined by a reputable exchange or data aggregator, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of whether Ethereum was trading above the predetermined level. This provides a clear and unambiguous outcome for all participants in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or unexpected setbacks, could shift trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, often influence cryptocurrency prices. Additionally, significant regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrencies could create volatility. Unexpected events in the wider crypto ecosystem, like hacks or exchange failures, could also move this market considerably before Oct 15, 2026.