TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
1,900
- Polymarket
1,900 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 15, 2026
Time left: 11h:27m:37s
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than typical spot price expectations. While traditional financial analysts may offer price targets based on fundamental or technical analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs. A significant difference between the implied probability from this market and external forecasts could indicate disagreement or unique information held by prediction market participants. It's a valuable signal for anyone following the cryptocurrency space.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of Ethereum being above the target price on Oct 15, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares indicates increasing confidence in Ethereum exceeding the price, driving the share price up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects real-time sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available source for the Ethereum price at the specified time. The price will be determined by a reputable exchange or data aggregator, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of whether Ethereum was trading above the predetermined level. This provides a clear and unambiguous outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or unexpected setbacks, could shift trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, often influence cryptocurrency prices. Additionally, significant regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrencies could create volatility. Unexpected events in the wider crypto ecosystem, like hacks or exchange failures, could also move this market considerably before Oct 15, 2026.