TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on May 31?
polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on May 31?

Volume:
$372,977

1,900

 - Polymarket

1,900 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 31, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$160,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,800

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,600

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,700

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,200

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,600

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,592
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,500

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,300

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,400

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum will trade above $1,600 on Polymarket, based on the Binance ETH/USDT pair. The leading outcome—that ETH closes above $1,600—currently stands at 99.7% probability on Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by the closing price of the 1-minute candle at noon ET on May 31, 2026, using Binance's official ETH/USDT data. Watch the Binance ETH/USDT price action as May 31, 2026 approaches to see if Ethereum maintains levels above the $1,600 threshold.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum above ___ on May 31? dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this event. It displays the current probability that Ethereum will trade above a specified price level on May 31, 2026. The dashboard updates $252,090 in 24-hour volume and cumulative $372,977 across all traders participating in this market. You can monitor price history, order flow, and shifting sentiment as the resolution date approaches, giving you a live view of market conviction on Ethereum's price trajectory.

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about Ethereum's price on May 31, 2026, often diverging from current spot prices and analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and technical levels, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction and tail risks. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to consensus analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to mainstream expectations. This gap often signals where informed traders see value or risk.

Ethereum's price trajectory toward May 31 could be shaped by major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements, and institutional adoption news. Layer 2 scaling developments, staking yield changes, and Ethereum's competitive position against other smart-contract platforms also influence sentiment. Broader crypto market cycles, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical events can drive volatility. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, developer activity, and exchange inflows to gauge momentum shifts that might push Ethereum above or below the threshold by resolution.