TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Ethereum's price on Jun 16, 2026, which often diverges from current spot prices. While spot markets react to immediate news and volatility, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus views. Significant gaps between prediction odds and analyst targets may signal underpriced or overpriced outcomes, offering trading opportunities for informed participants.
On Polymarket, Ethereum above ___ on June 16 is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of YES and NO shares moves based on order flow, with each trade updating the implied probability in real time. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices. The current odds represent the marginal trader's view, and as new information emerges or conviction shifts, the price adjusts accordingly through continuous market discovery.
The Ethereum above ___ on June 16 market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by whether Ethereum's price meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Resolution relies on verified price data from established sources, ensuring fairness and transparency. Once the resolution criteria are met, the market settles automatically, and winning positions are credited. Traders should monitor the approach to Jun 16, 2026 and ensure they understand the exact price feed and timing used for final settlement.
Several catalysts could drive Ethereum's price toward or away from the specified level by Jun 16, 2026. Regulatory announcements, major protocol upgrades, macroeconomic shifts, and changes in institutional adoption can all influence sentiment. Network activity, staking yields, and competing layer-2 developments may also impact valuation. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin correlation, and risk-on or risk-off sentiment in traditional markets often cascade into Ethereum trading. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and geopolitical events will help you anticipate price moves and adjust your market position accordingly.