TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Ethereum above ___ on August 9?
polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on August 9?

Volume:
$156,742

1,900

 - Polymarket

1,900 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 12:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,900

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$59,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$788
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

In this market, the odds reflect trader confidence about Ethereum’s price direction, often diverging from short-term spot market expectations. While spot prices may swing on news or macro events, prediction market probabilities incorporate longer-term views and consensus around the Aug 9, 2026 close. Analysts sometimes see these odds as a leading indicator, especially when there’s significant volume of $156,740 backing one side.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of Ethereum at the specified time will determine whether the contract settles as ‘above’ or ‘below’ the stated threshold.

Several factors could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 9, 2026. Major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, or unexpected macroeconomic shifts often drive short-term volatility. Additionally, large institutional trades, influencer sentiment, or shifts in crypto market-wide trends may cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will watch volume of $129,554 for early signals of changing sentiment as the event approaches.