TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum above ___ on August 7?
polymarket
kalshi

Ethereum above ___ on August 7?

Volume:
$585,529

1,900

 - Polymarket

1,900 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,900

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$129,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$114,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,800

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$69,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,890 to 1,929.99

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,807
N/A
N/A
$38,142
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,000

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,850 to 1,889.99

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,441
N/A
N/A
$12,950
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,930 to 1,969.99

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,189
N/A
N/A
$7,136
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,810 to 1,849.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,732
N/A
N/A
$6,684
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,970 to 2,009.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,598
N/A
N/A
$2,195
Settled
No
polymarket

2,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,130 to 2,169.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,010 to 1,049.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$631
N/A
N/A
$631
Settled
No
polymarket

2,300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,650 to 1,689.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
$363
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,770 to 1,809.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
$183
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,690 to 1,729.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,010 to 2,049.99

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,730 to 1,769.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,050 to 2,089.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,490 to 1,529.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will fall within a specific range on August 7, 2026, at 5pm EDT. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 96.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index. Keep an eye on August 7, 2026, as that is when the market will resolve based on the specified price data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Source FragilityHero tip: Trade cautiously as the two platforms use entirely different price sources and timing windows, creating potential resolution mismatches. Consider hedging positions across both platforms if you expect divergent outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 7, 2026. Market resolves to 'Yes' if the final 'Close' price is higher than the threshold specified in the title.
  • Kalshi: Uses the simple average of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) over the sixty seconds before 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026. Market resolves to 'Yes' if the average is within the specified range or above the upper bound of the range.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the one whose range encompasses this average value resolves to 'Yes.' Price data from other sources may differ, as the official determination uses CF Benchmarks' ERTI, with the final value being the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. If the average falls within a defined range, the associated market resolves positively; otherwise, all markets resolve negatively.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price market dashboard provides a consolidated view of how this market is priced across multiple venues, showing the current consensus and any notable shifts in trader sentiment. It aggregates data from various platforms, allowing you to see the overall market direction and compare expectations. With a volume of $585,529 and a 24-hour volume of $482,968, it reflects the collective wisdom of participants betting on where Ethereum’s value will land by the set date.