TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds on this venue offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot prices. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates trader expectations for Ethereum’s value by Aug 5, 2026. Analysts and on-chain metrics can also influence odds, making this market a leading indicator of market sentiment rather than a mirror of present conditions.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch exchange data and widely accepted price feeds to validate whether the condition is met, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Polymarket.
Key signals include major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, and macroeconomic shifts affecting crypto markets overall. Trading volume spikes, influencer sentiment, and ETF approval updates could also shift this market. As Aug 5, 2026 approaches, short-term volatility from exchange outages or large whale transactions may cause rapid re-pricing of outcomes on Polymarket.