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406,065

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Ethereum above ___ on August 4?
polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on August 4?

Volume:
$506,950

1,700

 - Polymarket

1,700 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$129,931
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$106,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,543
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of Ethereum will be above $1,700 on August 4, according to Binance data. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently holds a probability of 100.0%. The market will resolve based on Binance's ETH/USDT price at the specified time. Watch for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT at 12:00 ET on August 4, as this will determine the outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. In this market, the probability implied by trading activity reflects aggregated trader sentiment about where Ethereum will be by Aug 4, 2026. That can differ from technical or fundamental analyst forecasts, which may focus on shorter-term momentum or macro factors. Comparing the two helps identify potential mispricing or shifts in market sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on the closing price of Ethereum on that specific date, as recorded by widely accepted sources.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 4, 2026. Major Ethereum developments like protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, or large institutional trades may sway sentiment. Broader crypto market moves, macro economic data, or geopolitical events that affect risk appetite also influence pricing. Additionally, unexpected flash crashes or viral social media trends can create rapid shifts in trader positioning, all of which are reflected in real-time odds on Polymarket.