TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Ethereum above ___ on August 21?
polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on August 21?

Volume:
$692,462

2,200

 - Polymarket

2,200 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 12:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,200

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$166,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,300

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$98,885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,000

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$72,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,100

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,400

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of Ethereum will be above $2,400 on August 21, according to Binance data. On Polymarket, the current probability for the leading outcome is 10.0%. The market will resolve based on Binance's ETH/USDT price at the specified time. Watch for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT at 12:00 ET on August 21, as this will determine the market outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect a forward-looking view that can diverge from current spot prices. While spot prices show Ethereum’s present value, this market incorporates trader expectations about future movements, potentially highlighting bullish or bearish sentiment before it appears in immediate trading. Analysts often watch this market as a leading indicator, comparing its implied probability to on-chain metrics or macroeconomic signals for early signals of shifts.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on Ethereum’s price at the specified time, checked against reliable, widely accepted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent settlement for all participants on Polymarket.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 21, 2026: major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, significant macroeconomic data, or unexpected market moves in related assets. Traders on Polymarket will also watch key support and resistance levels, as well as any large institutional activity, since these can influence both spot prices and market sentiment in the run-up to resolution.