TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates trader sentiment, macro outlooks, and upcoming events that could influence Ethereum’s valuation. Analysts and traders watch both sources closely to spot discrepancies — when odds diverge sharply from spot, it may signal shifting market sentiment or anticipated price moves.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the result automatically reflected on Polymarket shortly after the relevant data becomes widely available, allowing the market to settle based on real-world conditions at that specific moment.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 19, 2026. Key events include major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, significant movements in Bitcoin’s price, macro economic data affecting risk assets, and unexpected technological developments within the Ethereum ecosystem. Traders often react quickly to news, so volume and odds can swing dramatically around these catalysts as new information emerges.