TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on August 15?
polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on August 15?

Volume:
$303,572

1,800

 - Polymarket

1,800 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 12:20 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,800

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$71,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,600

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$61,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,700

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,400

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1,500

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1,900

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,400

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,200

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,300

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Ethereum price market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $208,127. It shows how traders on this single venue are positioning around the likelihood of Ethereum’s price being above a certain level by August 15. The interface updates continuously, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity without any cross-platform aggregation.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a automated mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts based on their outlook. The current probability reflects the balanced demand for ‘yes’ and ‘no’ positions, adjusted for liquidity and open interest. Traders can influence the price through their bets, and the market may shift sharply following major Ethereum-related news or fund flows.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Ethereum’s price will be checked against the threshold, and the market will settle automatically based on the recorded value. No manual intervention or external oracle naming is involved — the result is drawn from widely accepted public data sources.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 15, 2026. Major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, institutional investment flows, or unexpected macroeconomic developments may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, competing crypto market trends and fund reallocations often create short-term volatility. Keep an eye on news from leading Ethereum foundations, exchange updates, and broad risk-on/risk-off sentiment in the crypto space.