TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 12:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a automated mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts based on their outlook. The current probability reflects the balanced demand for ‘yes’ and ‘no’ positions, adjusted for liquidity and open interest. Traders can influence the price through their bets, and the market may shift sharply following major Ethereum-related news or fund flows.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Ethereum’s price will be checked against the threshold, and the market will settle automatically based on the recorded value. No manual intervention or external oracle naming is involved — the result is drawn from widely accepted public data sources.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 15, 2026. Major Ethereum upgrades, regulatory announcements, institutional investment flows, or unexpected macroeconomic developments may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, competing crypto market trends and fund reallocations often create short-term volatility. Keep an eye on news from leading Ethereum foundations, exchange updates, and broad risk-on/risk-off sentiment in the crypto space.