TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates trader expectations about future conditions, macroeconomic factors, and potential Ethereum-specific developments. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish sentiment beyond present conditions.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Ethereum’s price will be checked against the threshold specified in the market, and the result will be finalized based on reliable, widely accepted data sources.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including key macroeconomic announcements, major Ethereum protocol upgrades, regulatory developments affecting crypto exchanges, and broader market sentiment shifts. Any unexpected news that influences investor confidence or trading volumes may cause rapid adjustments in market odds as traders reassess their positions leading up to August 12.