TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders place bets that directly set the odds through a decentralized process. The current pricing reflects the collective view of participants about Ethereum’s level on August 10. Liquidity and volume of $298,973 help determine how responsive the market is to new information. Unlike some platforms, there’s no central price feed—traders themselves establish the probability curve through their activity.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Ethereum’s price will be checked against the threshold specified in the market. If the price meets or exceeds that level at the exact resolution time, the 'Yes' outcome settles; otherwise, the 'No' outcome pays out. No manual intervention is required—the result is based on publicly available data.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 10, 2026. Major Ethereum-based developments like network upgrades, ETF inflow announcements, or regulatory news often drive price action and therefore market odds. Broader crypto market moves, macro economic data, and even geopolitical events that affect risk appetite can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any unexpected volatility around mid-August could cause rapid repricing as participants adjust positions ahead of the resolution deadline.