TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of a cryptocurrency index within specific price bands at a specific date and time, covering the full range of possible values.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect collective trader expectations for Ethereum's price at that specific time. These odds can be compared to current spot prices on major exchanges and analyst price targets to gauge whether the market is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral sentiment. If prediction odds favor higher ranges relative to today's price, traders expect appreciation; lower ranges suggest expected depreciation. This comparison helps identify whether prediction markets are aligned with or diverging from conventional price forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, ETH price range outcomes are priced as binary or range-based contracts where each bracket carries its own odds reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring at resolution. Prices move based on order flow, with buyers and sellers negotiating contract values between 0 and 100 cents. Traders can enter positions by buying or selling contracts at the displayed price, and payoffs depend on whether the actual ETH price at 5pm EDT on June 6, 2026 falls within the specified range.
This market resolves at Jun 6, 2026. The outcome is determined by where Ethereum's price settles at exactly 5pm EDT on June 6, 2026. Resolution hinges on identifying the correct price range bracket that contains the actual ETH price at that moment. Traders holding contracts on the winning range receive full payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The precise price source and verification method are specified in the market's official terms.
Major catalysts affecting ETH price odds include regulatory announcements, Ethereum protocol upgrades, macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin price movements, and broader crypto market sentiment. Institutional adoption news, changes in staking yields, and developments in decentralized finance can also influence long-term price expectations. Geopolitical events, central bank policy, and traditional market volatility may indirectly impact crypto valuations. As June 2026 approaches, near-term technical levels and options expiry dates could create additional price pressure or support around key range thresholds.