TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event segments Ethereum's price on June 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges. Participants select which range they believe ETH will fall within, with bands spanning from below $840 up to $2,360 and above. The final price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index data.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 24, 2026. The price is divided into mutually exclusive ranges, each representing a distinct outcome. The first range covers prices below $840, followed by consecutive $40 bands (e.g., $840-879.99, $880-919.99) continuing through the highest range of $2,360 and above. The market resolves to Yes for whichever range contains the calculated 60-second average. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, with the final value derived from averaging all 60 individual prices collected during the final minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect real money at stake, making them a distinct signal from casual polling or analyst forecasts. Traders in this market are incentivized to price in all available information—technical analysis, macro conditions, regulatory developments, and on-chain metrics—because their capital is at risk. When odds diverge sharply from consensus analyst price targets or social media sentiment, it often signals either that the market has spotted something others missed or that retail expectations lag behind informed traders. Comparing this market's odds to your own conviction on Ethereum's price trajectory can reveal where you see genuine edge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each ETH price range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range functions as its own contract; you can bid on the range you believe will contain Ethereum's price at settlement, and the odds for each band adjust based on supply and demand. Tighter spreads between bid and ask indicate higher confidence and liquidity in that particular range, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or thinner trading interest. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery across all available ranges.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once Ethereum's price at that specific moment can be verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range contains ETH's actual trading level at 5pm EDT on June 24, 2026. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while positions in other ranges expire worthless. Resolution is final once the price is confirmed, so timing and accuracy matter significantly for profitability.
Major catalysts for this market include Federal Reserve policy shifts, which influence risk appetite and capital flows into crypto; Ethereum network upgrades or technical developments; regulatory announcements affecting digital assets; macroeconomic data that reshapes rate expectations; and Bitcoin price action, which often leads altcoin moves. On-chain metrics like staking participation and transaction volume can also signal fundamental health. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and large whale transactions detected on-chain may trigger sharp repricing. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions ahead of the June 2026 settlement date.