TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Ethereum's price on June 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific ranges, with each range representing a mutually exclusive outcome. The price is determined using CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index averaged over 60 seconds.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) collected before 5 PM EDT on June 14, 2026. The final price is calculated by averaging all 60 RTI prices captured in that final minute. Exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes, corresponding to the price range in which the average falls. The ranges are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, covering all possible prices from below $890 to $2,410 and above. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative data source; prices from other platforms are for reference only.
Prediction market odds reflect collective trader expectations about where ETH will actually trade at the specified time, often diverging from current spot prices due to volatility assumptions and time-decay dynamics. While spot markets price Ethereum for immediate settlement, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment about price movement over the coming months. Comparing the implied ranges here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish momentum, bearish pressure, or sideways consolidation. These odds typically shift as macroeconomic data, regulatory news, and technical levels approach the resolution date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range contract trades independently, with the bid-ask spread reflecting uncertainty and liquidity conditions. Prices move as new information arrives and traders adjust their positions, with the most liquid ranges typically showing tighter spreads. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery across all available ETH price bands.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning range is determined by where ETH trades at the specified time on that date. Traders holding shares in the correct price band receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution timing is fixed, ensuring all participants know the exact settlement window.
Major catalysts for this market include Federal Reserve policy decisions, Bitcoin momentum shifts, Ethereum network upgrades or security incidents, and macroeconomic shocks affecting risk appetite. Regulatory announcements—particularly from the SEC or international bodies—can trigger sharp repricing across price bands. On-chain metrics like staking participation and developer activity may influence longer-term sentiment. Technical breakouts above or below key resistance levels often accelerate trader repositioning. Geopolitical events and traditional market volatility also tend to correlate with crypto price swings, making this market sensitive to broad financial conditions.