TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
ETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

ETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$1,182,686

$1,540 or above

 - Kalshi

$1,540 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1,540 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$180,489
N/A
N/A
$94,278
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,620 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$134,469
N/A
N/A
$37,469
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,740 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$69,035
N/A
N/A
$38,567
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$59,932
N/A
N/A
$31,500
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,660 or above

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55,738
N/A
N/A
$13,777
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,620 or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,247
N/A
N/A
$18,146
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,860 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,029
N/A
N/A
$33,629
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,827
N/A
N/A
$25,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,820 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,927
N/A
N/A
$31,518
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,580 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,268
N/A
N/A
$31,409
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,980 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,757
N/A
N/A
$25,825
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,580 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,715
N/A
N/A
$20,184
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,660 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,805
N/A
N/A
$16,698
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,940 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,511
N/A
N/A
$25,352
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,240
N/A
N/A
$9,022
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,780 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,640
N/A
N/A
$11,498
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,527
N/A
N/A
$5,402
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,220 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,032
N/A
N/A
$9,032
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,540 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,932
N/A
N/A
$5,775
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,460 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,822
N/A
N/A
$5,260
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,060 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,398
N/A
N/A
$5,398
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,380 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,201
N/A
N/A
$5,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,340 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,570
N/A
N/A
$4,550
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,180 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,417
N/A
N/A
$4,417
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,260 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$936
N/A
N/A
$936
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether the simple average of sixty seconds of the CF Benchmarks’ Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) will be above $1539.99 at 5:00 PM EDT on September 25, 2026. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI). Keep a close watch on Ethereum’s price action leading up to September 25, 2026, as the market will resolve based on the ERTI average during the sixty seconds immediately before 5:00 PM EDT on that date.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 25, 2026. For each individual market, if this average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $1,500, $1,540, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The ERTI is a standardized benchmark, and the official price is determined by averaging 60 data points collected in the final minute before expiration. This methodology ensures consistency across all thresholds, with each market independently evaluating whether Ethereum’s price meets its unique target at the exact settlement time.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate market conditions, this market represents a collective forecast for a specific point in the future – September 25, 2026. Analysts and polls may offer forecasts, but they often lack the ‘skin in the game’ that drives accuracy in prediction markets. Traders in this market are incentivized to express their most accurate beliefs, as their financial outcomes depend on the correctness of their predictions. This often leads to a more nuanced and potentially more accurate view of future ETH prices.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different ETH price outcomes, and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more traders believe ETH will reach a certain price, the contracts representing that outcome become more expensive. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This creates a dynamic price discovery process where the market consensus is reflected in the contract prices. The current volume of $1,182,686 indicates active participation and a developing consensus around the future price of ETH.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome determined by the price of one Ether (ETH) on September 25, 2026, at 5pm EDT. The price will be verified against credible public reporting from widely-recognized financial data providers. Traders will be paid out based on whether their chosen contract corresponds to the actual ETH price at the specified time. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market between now and September 25, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen vulnerabilities, could shift trader sentiment. Regulatory changes regarding cryptocurrencies, particularly in key jurisdictions, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like inflation rates, interest rate decisions, and global economic growth, could also play a role. Finally, significant shifts in the overall cryptocurrency market, including the performance of Bitcoin and other altcoins, could influence the price of ETH and, consequently, this market.