TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Ethereum's exchange rate against the dollar will be measured on June 10, 2026 at 5 PM EDT using a 60-second average price from a cryptocurrency benchmark index. This event tracks whether the rate exceeds various threshold levels.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect traders' collective belief about where ETH will trade on Jun 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks over an 18-month horizon. Comparing Kalshi odds to consensus analyst price targets or survey-based expectations reveals whether the market is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral sentiment relative to mainstream forecasts. This gap can highlight underpriced or overpriced scenarios worth monitoring.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, ETH price on Jun 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT is priced through binary or range-based contracts that traders buy and sell based on their conviction about the outcome. Each contract's market price reflects the probability implied by supply and demand; as new information emerges, traders adjust positions, moving the odds. Kalshi's order book and continuous trading mechanism allow real-time price discovery. The platform settles based on a specified reference price at the exact resolution time, ensuring transparent and verifiable outcomes tied to objective ETH price data.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, marking the official settlement time for all contracts. Resolution is determined by the ETH price at exactly 5pm EDT on Jun 10, 2026, measured against a predetermined reference source. Once the reference price is confirmed and published, all contracts settle according to their outcome criteria, and traders receive payouts or losses based on their positions. The specific price level or range that triggered each outcome becomes binding at that moment, concluding all trading activity in this event.
Major catalysts for ETH price movement through Jun 10, 2026 include Ethereum protocol upgrades, changes in network adoption or transaction volume, regulatory developments affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and competition from alternative layer-1 blockchains. Bitcoin price movements often correlate with ETH, so broader crypto sentiment plays a role. Institutional adoption announcements, staking yield changes, and developments in decentralized finance can also influence long-term price expectations. Geopolitical events and central bank policy decisions may shift investor risk tolerance, indirectly affecting ETH valuations over this 18-month window.