TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ETH price on Jul 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

ETH price on Jul 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$348,152

$1,780 or above

 - Kalshi

$1,780 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1,780 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$80,121
N/A
N/A
$17,093
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,740 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,090
N/A
N/A
$5,380
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,406
N/A
N/A
$4,332
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$980 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,901
N/A
N/A
$1,869
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,660 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
$471
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,820 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,010
N/A
N/A
$47,353
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,140 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,244
N/A
N/A
$21,244
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,860 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,361
N/A
N/A
$20,361
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,100 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,133
N/A
N/A
$17,133
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,260 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,681
N/A
N/A
$16,681
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,300 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,549
N/A
N/A
$16,549
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,060 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,307
N/A
N/A
$16,307
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,020 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,840
N/A
N/A
$11,840
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,220 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,026
N/A
N/A
$7,026
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,180 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,631
N/A
N/A
$6,631
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,340 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,375
N/A
N/A
$6,375
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,380 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,360
N/A
N/A
$6,360
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,420 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,111
N/A
N/A
$6,111
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,460 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,111
N/A
N/A
$6,111
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,980 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,894
N/A
N/A
$2,802
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,940 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,011
N/A
N/A
$1,011
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,900 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$520
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
No
kalshi

$900 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$940 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,020 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks Ethereum's price on July 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index. The price is determined by averaging 60 individual price readings collected in the final minute before the 5pm deadline.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 4, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring if the 60-second average exceeds the threshold specified for that outcome. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase. At expiration, 60 individual RTI prices are collected and averaged to produce the final value used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The ETH price prediction market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price data for where Ethereum will trade on July 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The interface displays current market probability, cumulative trading volume of $348,152, and 24-hour activity metrics to help traders monitor sentiment and liquidity. This snapshot reflects how the prediction community is pricing the outcome as the event date approaches, giving you visibility into both consensus expectations and trading momentum across the platform.

Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect Ethereum's price to be at a specific future moment, whereas spot prices reflect only today's market value. This market aggregates thousands of individual trades into a probability distribution, often surfacing expectations that differ from analyst forecasts or traditional financial models. By comparing the odds here to current spot prices and consensus analyst targets, you can identify whether the prediction community is pricing in bullish momentum, bearish pressure, or stability relative to conventional expectations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different ETH price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share's price reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring by the resolution date. As new trades flow in, the odds update in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any point before the market closes. The spread between bid and ask prices narrows as liquidity increases, making it easier to trade at tighter margins.

This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying Ethereum's price against credible public sources. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, all positions settle according to the actual result. Traders who correctly predicted the price range receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is final and binding on the platform.

Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency adoption, macroeconomic shifts in interest rates or inflation, significant blockchain technology upgrades, and shifts in institutional or retail demand for Ethereum. Geopolitical events, changes in competing layer-one protocols, and updates to Ethereum's roadmap can also influence trader positioning. Additionally, broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin price movements, and on-chain metrics like staking activity may drive trading volume and repricing as the July 2026 date approaches.