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ESPN App Downloads in August
kalshi

What will be the ESPN app download performance in August?

Volume:
$7,015

Above 50

 - Kalshi

Above 50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,965
N/A
N/A
$656
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 45

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,573
N/A
N/A
$2,181
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 65

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$843
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 55

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of the ESPN app in August 2026, focusing on whether download numbers exceed specific thresholds compared to the same month in the previous year. The thresholds represent varying levels of growth, with higher thresholds indicating stronger performance. The outcome depends on year-over-year changes reported by a third-party data provider.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for ESPN app downloads in August 2026, each defined by a specific year-over-year growth percentage. All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded once the market is settled. The index compares August 2026 downloads to August of the prior year, where a value of 100 indicates no change, above 100 signifies growth, and below 100 indicates decline. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., above 45, above 50, etc.), and if the reported index exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The event emphasizes independence from the underlying company, with all trademarks and branding belonging to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ESPN App Downloads market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for the month of August, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity for this market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for ESPN app downloads. While analysts may incorporate broader trends and historical data, traders adjust prices based on recent performance, news, and perceived user behavior shifts, which can lead to notable differences in implied probabilities.

On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about August app download numbers. Volume of $7,015 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $0 indicates current activity levels. Traders adjust positions based on news, platform updates, and anticipated user behavior trends.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on official download statistics for the August period, closing all bets on the exact performance of the ESPN App Downloads market.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 14, 2026. Major software updates or new feature releases might boost user activity and raise download expectations. Contrarily, technical issues, negative press, or competing app events could suppress numbers. Seasonal trends and user behavior changes around holidays also play a role. Any surprise announcements or platform-wide changes will likely cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess download forecasts.