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Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?

Volume:
$2,402,235

180-199

 - Polymarket

180-199 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 2:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

180-199

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$270,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

200-219

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313,850
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240-259

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 180 and 199 times on X (formerly Twitter) between September 8th and September 15th, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives this outcome a 93.5% probability, while the second most likely outcome – 200 to 219 posts – is at 6.3%. The market resolves based on the post count from Elon Musk’s official X account, https://x.com/elonmusk. Keep a close watch on Musk’s posting activity leading up to September 15, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and when the market will be settled based on the total number of qualifying posts.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Elon Musk tweet count market tracks the current odds of various outcomes regarding the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between September 8 and September 15, 2026. You can view the implied probability of each outcome, along with the price history and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $571,582. The total volume traded on this market is $2,402,037. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different tweet counts from Elon Musk during that period.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional polling averages for this type of event, as there aren’t established polls specifically forecasting Elon Musk’s tweet volume. However, sentiment analysis of social media and news articles could offer a comparative benchmark. If public perception suggests Musk will be relatively quiet or highly active during that timeframe, we might expect to see corresponding shifts in this market. The current pricing reflects what traders believe, which may or may not align with broader public expectations about Musk’s online behavior.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of tweets posted by Elon Musk on X (formerly Twitter) between September 8 and September 15, 2026, will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on a publicly available count of his posts during that specific timeframe. This market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the final tweet count, based on the contract they held.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major news events involving Elon Musk or X, changes to Musk’s posting habits in the months leading up to September 2026, or announcements regarding his priorities could all shift trader sentiment. A significant controversy or a period of intense public focus on Musk could lead to increased tweeting, while a focus on other ventures might result in fewer posts. Any indication of Musk’s planned activity during that week could also cause substantial movement in the market.