TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

Volume:
$2,962,535

160-179

 - Polymarket

160-179 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 6:53 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

160-179

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$285,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

140-159

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,002,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292,445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-219

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240-259

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,988
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 160 and 179 times on X (formerly Twitter) between September 4th and September 11th, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives this outcome a 94.5% probability, while the second most likely outcome – 180 to 199 posts – is at 3.7%. The market resolves based on the post count from Elon Musk’s X account, https://x.com/elonmusk. Traders should watch the volume of Musk’s posts as we approach September 11, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and the final count for market resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume of $1,200,426. This tool visualizes how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different tweet counts from Elon Musk during the specified period, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and activity for the Elon Musk tweet count market.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk between the defined dates will settle all positions, closing the market based on objective, publicly available data without ambiguity.

Major announcements from Elon Musk, shifts in his public engagement strategies, or high-profile controversies involving the platforms he uses could significantly move this market. Additionally, unexpected technical changes — such as algorithm updates affecting tweet visibility — or periods of heightened activity around product launches may cause rapid reassessments among traders on Polymarket.