TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?

Volume:
$783,690

65-89

 - Polymarket

65-89 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 2:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

65-89

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$147,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90-114

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-64

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 65 and 89 times on X, formerly Twitter, from September 3 to September 5, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives this outcome an 86.5% probability, while the second most likely outcome – that he posts between 40 and 64 times – is at 9.5%. The market resolves based on the post count from Elon Musk’s official X account (https://x.com/elonmusk). Keep an eye on Musk’s posting activity leading up to September 5, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and the final count for market resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the number of tweets Elon Musk will post from September 3 to September 5, 2026. It shows current probabilities, charts of price movement over time, and displays 24-hour volume of $436,787. This gives users a live view of market sentiment for the Elon Musk tweet count market.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The exact tweet count posted by Elon Musk during the specified window will settle the market, reflecting whatever is publicly recorded on the platforms he uses.