TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?

Volume:
$778,664

40-64

 - Polymarket

40-64 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 2:02 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40-64

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$161,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

65-89

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-114

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,702
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 40 and 64 times on X (formerly Twitter) between September 12 and September 14, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives this outcome a 100.0% probability, while the second most likely outcome – that he posts between 65 and 89 times – is at 0.1%. The market resolves based on the post count from Elon Musk’s official X account, https://x.com/elonmusk. Keep an eye on Musk’s posting activity leading up to September 14, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and when the market will be settled based on his total posts during the specified timeframe.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Elon Musk tweet count market tracks the current odds of various outcomes regarding the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between September 12 and September 14, 2026. You'll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $501,909. The total volume for this market is $778,664. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on price movements and activity.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each scenario. The current price reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd, factoring in various potential influences on Elon Musk’s tweeting behavior.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of tweets posted by Elon Musk on X (formerly Twitter) between September 12 and September 14, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be determined by an independent verification of his X activity during that period. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of the event’s outcome, based on publicly available data.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major news events involving Elon Musk or his companies, changes to X’s policies regarding posting limits, or even his stated intentions regarding social media activity could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about new projects or controversies could also lead to increased or decreased tweeting. Any indication of his planned availability or focus during those specific dates will likely be closely watched and reflected in the price of shares in this market.