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404,028

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Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Volume:
$2,358,673

200-219

 - Polymarket

200-219 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 2:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

200-219

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$282,584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$264,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240-259

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 200 and 219 times on X (formerly Twitter) between September 1st and September 8th, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives this outcome a 93.5% probability, while the second most likely outcome – 220 to 239 posts – is at 6.7%. The market resolves based on the post count from Elon Musk’s official X account, https://x.com/elonmusk. Traders should watch the volume of Musk’s posts as we approach September 8, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and the final count for resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Elon Musk tweet count market, showing how traders value the likelihood of different tweet ranges between September 1 and September 8, 2026. It displays current top-outcome chances alongside 24-hour volume of $707,604 and total volume of $2,356,653, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity for this prediction.

Unlike traditional polling averages that gather public opinions through surveys, prediction market odds reflect aggregated bets from traders who may have access to diverse information sources and incentives. For this market, the current odds imply a specific probability distribution for Elon Musk’s tweet activity, which can diverge from polling averages due to real-time data, trader speculation, and financial incentives shaping the market price.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The exact tweet count published during the defined dates will settle all positions, closing the market and paying out winners based on the pre-set ranges.

Several signals could shift odds before Sep 8, 2026, including announced Elon Musk schedules, major product launches, geopolitical developments, or unexpected social-media activity. Any news indicating changes to his typical posting habits — such as scheduled appearances, travel, or platform algorithm updates — may also affect trader sentiment. Volume spikes around these events often precede price adjustments in this market.