TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?

Volume:
$7,660,852

160-179

 - Polymarket

160-179 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

160-179

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$746,791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$956,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-219

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$708,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$619,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$597,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$368,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280,980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$227,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240-259

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 160 and 179 tweets during the week of May 26 to June 2, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 89.0%. Resolution will be determined by counting posts on Musk's @elonmusk X account, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, but excluding replies. Watch for any major announcements or events during the May 26 to June 2 window that could significantly alter Musk's posting frequency during that specific period.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the question of whether Elon Musk will post 500 or more tweets during the week of May 26 to June 2, 2026 on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability, historical price movements, and $2,403,862 in 24-hour trading volume. The market reflects aggregated trader conviction on this specific behavioral metric, with total group volume reaching $7,660,852. Traders use this data to monitor shifting sentiment about Musk's social media activity during that precise seven-day window.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket differ fundamentally from traditional polling because they measure trader-backed probability rather than survey responses. Polls cannot directly measure tweet volume forecasts, whereas prediction markets incentivize traders to price in their best estimate of Musk's actual posting behavior during May 26 to June 2, 2026. Market odds reflect real financial stakes and continuous updating as new information emerges, making them a dynamic alternative to static survey data for behavioral forecasting.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution depends on the verified count of tweets posted by Elon Musk's primary account during the May 26 to June 2, 2026 observation period. The outcome is binary: if the total reaches 500 or more tweets, the YES side wins; otherwise, NO prevails. Official tweet count data from X (formerly Twitter) serves as the authoritative source for determining which outcome occurred.

Several factors could shift odds before Jun 2, 2026. Major Tesla or SpaceX announcements during that week might trigger increased Musk tweeting. Platform policy changes on X could affect posting volume or accessibility. Public controversies or market events often correlate with heightened social media activity from Musk. Historical patterns of his tweet frequency during comparable periods provide baseline expectations. Trader sentiment about his engagement level and any pre-announced events or product launches scheduled for late May or early June 2026 will continuously reprice the market.