TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?

Volume:
$7,856,898

180-199

 - Polymarket

180-199 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 29, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

180-199

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$655,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,084,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-219

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$957,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$770,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$761,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240-259

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$382,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$357,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$208,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$143,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks the total number of tweets Elon Musk will post on X during the week of May 22–29, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that Musk posts between 180 and 199 tweets during this period—stands at 98.2%, while posting 200–219 tweets carries 1.7% probability. Resolution will be determined by a direct count of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from @elonmusk's account, excluding replies. Watch for Musk's posting activity patterns as the May 29, 2026 deadline approaches to see whether his tweet volume stays within the heavily favored 180–199 range.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Elon Musk tweet-count event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of each outcome bracket, historical price movements, and $1,855,745 in 24-hour trading volume. The dashboard aggregates order-book depth, recent trades, and liquidity metrics specific to Polymarket, allowing traders to monitor how market participants are pricing Elon Musk's expected tweet output during the May 22–29, 2026 window. Use it to follow sentiment shifts and identify support or resistance levels as the event approaches resolution on May 29, 2026.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery, whereas traditional polling or analyst forecasts are typically static snapshots. Markets embed forward-looking expectations from traders with financial skin in the game, making them responsive to breaking news about Elon Musk's social-media habits or platform changes. Unlike surveys, prediction markets update instantly as new information arrives. For this event, the market's probability distribution across tweet-count brackets should be compared against any published analyst estimates or historical baseline data on Musk's typical weekly tweet volume to gauge whether traders are pricing in unusual activity during May 22–29, 2026.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, marking the end of the May 22–29, 2026 observation window. Resolution hinges on an objective count of tweets posted by Elon Musk's primary account during that exact seven-day period. The final tweet tally will be verified and matched against the outcome brackets offered on Polymarket, determining which bracket wins and which traders receive their payout. Traders holding shares in the correct bracket will be credited winnings proportional to their position size. The specificity of the date range and counting methodology ensures a clear, auditable resolution free from ambiguity.

Several catalysts could shift market odds before May 29, 2026. Major announcements from Tesla, SpaceX, or X (formerly Twitter) might trigger increased Musk tweeting or silence. Regulatory actions, product launches, or geopolitical events could alter his social-media cadence. Changes to X's algorithm or feature rollouts may affect posting incentives. Personal or health-related news could reduce or boost his activity. Additionally, any public statements by Musk about his tweeting habits or social-media strategy in the weeks leading up to May 22 would inform trader expectations. Historical patterns of his tweet volume during comparable periods may also influence how traders adjust their positions as the event window approaches.