TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Volume:
$10,705,912

260-279

 - Polymarket

260-279 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 26, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

260-279

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$857,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

240-259

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,577,421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$937,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$857,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$785,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$758,748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-219

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$559,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$552,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$433,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$395,865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$374,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$363,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$358,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$343,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$314,614
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$287,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$287,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$167,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$160,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$90,768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$89,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$54,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$44,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$28,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$19,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks the total number of tweets Elon Musk will post on X during a specific week in May 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that Musk posts between 260 and 279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026—stands at 100.0%, while the alternative of 240–259 tweets is at 0.0%. Resolution will be determined by counting posts from Musk's @elonmusk account on X, excluding replies. Watch for Musk's posting activity as the May 26, 2026 deadline approaches to see if his tweet volume aligns with the market's expectations.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the Elon Musk tweet-count event covering May 19 through May 26, 2026. It displays the current probability of each outcome bucket—ranging from lower to higher tweet volumes—along with 24-hour trading volume and cumulative liquidity. Users can monitor how odds shift as the event date approaches, review past price history, and see which outcome brackets attract the most trader interest. This single-venue view provides transparency into market sentiment on Elon Musk's expected tweeting activity during that specific week.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket differ fundamentally from traditional polling because they reflect real-money bets rather than survey responses. While pollsters might ask hypothetical questions about social media behavior, prediction markets incentivize traders to forecast actual tweet counts based on Elon Musk's historical patterns, platform changes, and announced events. Markets typically incorporate forward-looking information faster than polls and adjust continuously as new data emerges. The crowd-sourced nature of prediction markets often produces more dynamic estimates than static survey snapshots, though both approaches offer distinct value for understanding potential outcomes.

The market resolves on May 26, 2026, marking the end of the May 19–26, 2026 observation window. Resolution hinges on the actual number of tweets Elon Musk posts during that seven-day period. The final tweet count will determine which outcome bracket is correct, and traders holding shares in the winning bracket receive their payout. Accurate counting and timely verification are essential to fair settlement. The specificity of the date range ensures all participants operate under the same temporal boundaries when tracking Elon Musk's posting activity.

Several factors could shift odds before May 26, 2026. Major announcements from Tesla, SpaceX, or X (formerly Twitter) may prompt increased tweeting or silence. Platform policy changes, account restrictions, or technical outages could limit posting capacity. Elon Musk's public schedule—including earnings calls, product launches, or legal proceedings—often correlates with tweet volume. Broader social or political events may trigger commentary. Historical tweet-count data and seasonal patterns also inform trader expectations. As May 2026 approaches, any news affecting Elon Musk's availability, priorities, or communication strategy could move market odds significantly, reflecting traders' updated forecasts about his likely activity during that specific week.