TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?

Volume:
$729,009

65-89

 - Polymarket

65-89 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 2:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

65-89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$131,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

115-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-114

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-64

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 65 and 89 tweets on X from July 30 to August 1, 2026, with the current probability on Polymarket at 99.7%, while the second outcome, posting between 90 and 114 tweets, stands at 0.5%. The resolution source is Elon Musk's official X account. Watch for the end of the tweet-counting window on August 1, 2026, to determine the final outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 30 12:00 PM ET to August 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $462,207 for the Elon Musk tweet count market. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different tweet totals over the specified period, giving you a real-time view of market sentiment and activity without needing to check multiple sources.

Unlike traditional polls that sample public opinion, this market uses real-money bets to set its odds. While polls might ask people about their expectations, this market reflects what traders are willing to pay now based on analysis, news, and patterns in Elon Musk's past behavior. The resulting probability often diverges from polling averages because it incorporates financial incentives and up-to-date information.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact tweet count from Elon Musk’s official accounts during the specified window will settle the market, removing any ambiguity about the result.

News about Elon Musk’s schedule, social media activity spikes, or announcements about planned posts can shift this market. Any unexpected platform outages or controversies involving his accounts may also affect trader sentiment. Additionally, broader trends in social media usage or major events drawing his attention could influence the expected tweet volume before Aug 1, 2026.